The diesel car enters the German elections.
The diesel car enters the German elections.
Unilateral and boring political agenda .
The German elections on September 24 , forty years after the “Deutscher Herbst” (German autumn), are key to the future of Europe. Do not wake up, however, much enthusiasm. The television duel between Angela Merkel (CDU) and Martin Schulz (SPD) had, according to commentators, a unilateral approach to issues where there is a coincidence. Going through thorny issues. The beneficiary is Alternative for Germany – it is done, without being present in the debate, free campaign.
” Islam has nothing to do with the attacks ,” Merkel said, noting the need for an improvement in the formation of magnets. “Schulz spoke of” fanatical minority “. Volker Beck proposed to open in universities, if indeed “Islam is part of Germany”, to the teaching of Islam in Faculties of Theology. How a secularized society does not neglect the diversity of beliefs would be an interesting question to see the nuances among the various political options. Anticipate coalition options. Angela Merkel’s turn on the nuclear issue, now on the subject of Islam, brings her closer to Los Verdes .
That superficiality in the migration policy agenda, the diversity of beliefs, etc., leads to creating ” indifference ” among the electorate. Marco Bülow , SPD candidate, is right, considering that this way of dealing with the debate by emptying the political agenda is something that only takes off Alternative by Germany . Many other issues are automatically marginalized: climate change, energy transition, food security, environmental health, etc. How to develop new formats? The press has a huge responsibility . When to speak of strengthening democracy to face the problems of people who, increasingly, feel disconcerted by an uncertain future?
The campaign is heated with diesel.
Diesel, by surprise, slipped into the elections. The CSU called for a commitment to diesel. Meanwhile SPD and CDU do not want to put a date to remove them from the streets. The CSU goes further, considers the Greens disabled to govern Germany. The Greens meet with free campaign; in his program he proposes the date of abandonment of the combustion car in 2030. “Prohibition” said Seehofer, “absurd madness”. The industry minister, Zypries (SPD) wants to give diesel a chance.
The end debate of the combustion car era favors Los Verdes. Even tactically for a CDU-Greens coalition . The Böll Stiftung, foundation of the Greens, sees feasible the ” Jamaican coalition ” (verdi-negra) plays in its favor its presence in the majority of regional governments; Greens-CDU , CDU-Greens , semaphore coalition, R2G, etc. Why are these relevant issues not on the political agenda?
The SPD convened the National Forum Diesel as another desperate act to cover a very bad election campaign. It has been another blunder. The own minister of environment, Barbara Hendricks , before the decision of 62 cities to prohibit the diesel in 2018 , doubted if from the ministry one could “prohibit” the own “prohibition”. It recognizes that the agreements of the two diesel forums are insufficient to guarantee the air quality of the cities.
The Dieselgate industry against any adjustment.
The large automotive industry, instead of accelerating the ecological transition from disruptive innovation, which improves competitiveness, creates employment, reduces energy dependence, improves air quality, etc., because it is not enough with the Dieselgate scandal , it looks the relations with the government maintain a business passivity betting on the same combustion engine as a century ago. The automobile lobby spends 15 times more than all environmental organizations. Consider that no “adjustment” is necessary.
17 million in 2009-2017 was the expense of the automobile lobby in financing the matches. It is reflected in the Bundestag registry. It is an open secret that Mercedes, BMW, Volkswagen met, in a dark room, to offer electric hybrids with batteries as small as possible. The revelations of LobbyControl explain that torticulis to see the Dieselgate!
The automobile industry is against accelerating that disruptive transition to the electric car. Martin Schulz accused the automotive industry for months of this attitude contrary to the electric car without caring to put at risk the future of European industry. ” Tesla is making fun of us for too long,” he added, but the “arrogance of giving up ambition” is worse. A decade ago, China copied German politics, with the ecological fiscal reform of Kai Schlegelmilch; today it is Germany, the SPD , who proposes to follow the Chinese model. Bet prematurely with the electric car, for CLEPA , is to benefit China. Europe renounces to shape the future.
Pioneer cities, the industry with sclerosis.
Where states fail, faced with selfish sovereign fiction, cities face global challenges. The health that demands to improve the quality of the air takes 62 German cities will prohibit in the automobile circulation diesel. Improves the quality of clean air, avoid direct and premature deaths, but also, the transition to the electric car offers multifunctional batteries -in a system based on renewable. The Environment Agency estimates that 75% of NOx emissions are from diesel ; updating diesel vehicle software, the industry’s commitment at the summit, will not be enough to guarantee air quality in cities. In 2018 there will be no diesel cars in Dusseldorf (with an average of 57 micrograms m3 NOX), Munich (with 80), Stuttgart (with 82), Cologne (with 63), Hamburg (with 62), Darmstad t (with 55), Hannover (with 55), etc.
And in Spain? The government is betting on alternative fuels! It includes something as little alternative as natural gas. At least BMW, Mercedes and Volswagen have electric models . SEAT is betting on the gas car ( SEAT León, a gas and gasoline hybrid – sold as cheaper for daily use). SEAT does not believe in the future of electric cars. Martorell factory is committed to a 100% plug-in electric car: Mii. It will produce it in 2020, it expects in 2025 to sell 2 million (two models and one hybrid). SEAT is in the tail of the sector. The sector is led by Nissan Leaf (high-end, with 378 km of autonomy) and Tesla . Here is a brief sample of the fiscal and financial policies to lead that transition.
This concern is not perceived in the authorities about the abrupt change in the industry in Germany is not decades but months. Norway in 2016 23.5% decoches were electric ; for every 1000 inhabitants there are 6.3 Tesla, in Sweden 2.4, in Denmark 1.7, in the United States 1.2, France 0.91, Germany 0.72, United Kingdom 0.56, Italy 0.37, China 0.11. The decline in diesel sales is just the beginning. We are at the doors of that disruptive change. Germany 0.7% electric cars.
A Germany used to not step on the lawn.
The summit of diesel says Nina Scheer (SPD deputy from Berlin) is a smack to citizens and democracy. A consensus with the back industry of the citizens . The official position of the SPD is to resort to the philosopher’s stone of Augustine of Hippo : “God make me chaste, but not now”. If you want to generate employment, you will not be producing diesel cars, for more Audio 8 diesel models that you want to sell.
The Greens play with bad memory. The president of Baden-Wurttemberg , Winfried Kretschmann , was the driving force behind the diesel summit. For Los Verdes the quality of the air is not negotiable. They want to allocate 1,000 million euros in electric buses, bike lanes, expansion of charging points for electric cars, reform of circulation taxes (to facilitate the tax credit for the purchase of electric cars), etc. Angela Merkel is moving forward with a program of 500 million euros.
Volkswagen, instead of tripling the money invested in technological innovation, doubled in 2016 the money allocated to lobby. Cando has problems change the laws to seek improvements in their competitiveness. You will thus avoid making any adjustments. They have money to pay for studies to see that there are alternatives (efficiency, software, smart driving, etc.). It can keep the combustion car . The other alternatives are costly and unsustainable can be argued. What policies encourage the electric car?
A technological transition can be discuptive . Tony Seba shows in the past those changes, not based on partial innovations, with a disruptive character. The appearance of the current cars, in the first decade of the 20th century, took place in little more than a decade. Down in the picture on the left all cars are horses, on 5 avenue in New York, except one petrol; the photo on the right, 12 years later, is one of horses.
It does not replace the electric motor with the combustion engine. Think of a digital camera Before each photo Kodak earns money : new reels, developing, etc. All that does not make sense anymore. As efficient as a reel camera is, the digital one will not fulfill the Jevons paradox , according to which more efficiently, more photos will be revealed and more reels will be used. As with a digital you will spend what you save on reels in more reels if you do not use. With the electric car goodbye the gas stations, workshops to change oils, filters, etc. But also goodbye to refineries, transportation of gasoline, wells to extract barrels of oil etc. The most important thing is goodbye to lobby to maintain obsolete technologies and academic production to legitimize unsustainable mobility.
The commitment to the electric car will not be the mobility of the next 1000 years, but it will be the basis for laying the groundwork, without the power of the fossil / automobile industry to approach the ecological transition with greater depth. It will not horrify, when talking about renewable energy TRE, to think that we burn gasoline to take advantage of less than 15%. The proposal of the Greens and to the implemented Emmanuel Macron in France.